Prediction-market trader

Reasonable-Waffle @reasonablewaffle

Independent prediction-market trader. 224 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-11-05 (303 days), 74 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -10.4% · month +1.1% · 90 days +22.6% · 6 months +89.5% · 1 year — · all +75.9%
  • Max drawdown -39.9% · Sharpe 0.84 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-EAE133A71Y · 26.2% · long
  • PM-D8E7DF41DY · 14.8% · long
  • PM-02079AC3EY · 14.0% · long
  • PM-D07FFAF65Y · 7.8% · long
  • PM-6D676AE73Y · 6.7% · long
  • PM-EAF59F826Y · 6.7% · long
  • PM-FBD8CECF3Y · 6.6% · long
  • PM-AD426BBCBY · 6.5% · long
  • PM-887D53945Y · 6.3% · long
  • PM-7034C00A2Y · 1.3% · long
  • PM-EC68CD265Y · 1.2% · long
  • PM-024B68F77Y · 0.7% · long

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Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.