Prediction-market trader

Musty-Lag @mustylag

Independent prediction-market trader. 38,146 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-03-28 (160 days), 40 trades recorded
• Returns: week -5.4% · month +0.7% · 90 days -22.3% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all -8.4%
• Max drawdown -73.2% · Sharpe -0.13 · win rate 0% · data quality Medium
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-3D5321854Y · 6.8% · long
• PM-FD21A82B0Y · 6.5% · long
• PM-A51810B62Y · 6.5% · long
• PM-054725B2AY · 6.5% · long
• PM-3265B10DAY · 6.5% · long
• PM-4EC30476FY · 6.5% · long
• PM-821608B5EY · 6.5% · long
• PM-AFD3F96B7Y · 4.3% · long
• PM-09B65834EY · 2.2% · long
• PM-42F50CD73Y · 2.2% · long
• PM-F134705AEY · 2.2% · long
• PM-BAA911D1BY · 2.2% · long

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