Prediction-market trader
Lost-Formicarium @lostformicarium
Independent prediction-market trader. 54 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2026-03-28 (164 days), 23 trades recorded
- Returns: week -3.6% · month -0.7% · 90 days +29.9% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +14.9%
- Max drawdown -21.3% · Sharpe 0.53 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-9EB7AC152Y · 28.2% · long
- PM-B91BE1238Y · 16.6% · long
- PM-74DBA1CE1Y · 16.1% · long
- PM-A425A9988Y · 9.7% · long
- PM-18B1C135DY · 8.4% · long
- PM-34918035AY · 7.0% · long
- PM-0AC23DB1EY · 5.3% · long
- PM-61600D487Y · 4.2% · long
- PM-C789533A7Y · 2.8% · long
- PM-E6BCC2F1DY · 0.6% · long
- PM-0687236DAY · 0.6% · long
- PM-C272A2ECDY · 0.5% · long