Prediction-market trader

Knowing-Arthur-Ash @knowingarthurash

Independent prediction-market trader. 36,014 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-05-17 (110 days), 67 trades recorded
• Returns: week -2.8% · month -87.9% · 90 days -90.2% · 6 months — · 1 year — · all -90.1%
• Max drawdown -94.3% · Sharpe -0.65 · win rate 6% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-AC02CBB04N · 51.3% · long
• PM-A3B36B2D6Y · 15.4% · long
• PM-53EAB3EBFY · 7.8% · long
• PM-176B5C2E2Y · 2.5% · long
• PM-E67F4D31FY · 1.6% · long
• PM-4BE43B567N · 1.3% · long
• PM-496D37F96N · 1.3% · long
• PM-9A3B0103AN · 1.3% · long
• PM-774A037BDN · 1.3% · long
• PM-04A7D0995N · 1.2% · long
• PM-77AC89CFDN · 1.2% · long
• PM-56200A65EN · 1.2% · long

Copy on paper, free More traders How copying works

Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.