Prediction-market trader

Imperturbable-Carboxyl @imperturbablecarboxyl

Independent prediction-market trader. 786 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-02-16 (200 days), 40 trades recorded
• Returns: week +11.5% · month +14.7% · 90 days -19.2% · 6 months -22.2% · 1 year — · all -24.8%
• Max drawdown -40.3% · Sharpe -0.83 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-80E03EBBAY · 4.7% · long
• PM-F12FBAAA4Y · 4.3% · long
• PM-0C08AD43EY · 4.2% · long
• PM-15821F4E8Y · 4.2% · long
• PM-398D708B5Y · 4.1% · long
• PM-1BC256EF5Y · 4.1% · long
• PM-7E458454AY · 4.1% · long
• PM-319B1881EN · 4.1% · long
• PM-BDA2B0AC8Y · 4.1% · long
• PM-2B66F1B76Y · 4.1% · long
• PM-4494895CFY · 4.1% · long
• PM-CEAC7344FY · 4.1% · long

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