Prediction-market trader

Arid-Province @aridprovince

Independent prediction-market trader. 16,285 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-10-08 (331 days), 75 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -15.4% · month -6.5% · 90 days -56.0% · 6 months -51.2% · 1 year n/a · all -74.8%
  • Max drawdown -74.8% · Sharpe -0.97 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-5E9800B79Y · 19.0% · long
  • PM-8FEBBDA1EY · 17.9% · long
  • PM-CF4CF0CF9Y · 10.9% · long
  • PM-87091DC59Y · 8.6% · long
  • PM-D0EDCAC9EY · 8.1% · long
  • PM-6EEC2B6B1Y · 6.4% · long
  • PM-6BAC08E7FY · 6.1% · long
  • PM-777C36CB4Y · 4.6% · long
  • PM-E4F4B614AY · 2.9% · long
  • PM-A34EDB6C8Y · 2.7% · long
  • PM-7E6767C8DY · 2.0% · long
  • PM-387ABD33EY · 1.9% · long

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