Prediction-market trader

Agitated-Bricklaying @agitatedbricklaying

Independent prediction-market trader. 15,625 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-25 (132 days), 855 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +1.3% · month -1.5% · 90 days -52.7% · 6 months — · 1 year — · all -64.8%
  • Max drawdown -68.5% · Sharpe -1.09 · win rate 32% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-56A64FE90N · 15.9% · long
  • PM-3B08AE92EN · 13.0% · long
  • PM-3DB74F14FN · 4.2% · long
  • PM-AE0363BFEN · 3.7% · long
  • PM-860C11444Y · 3.1% · long
  • PM-4E4F77E7DY · 2.9% · long
  • PM-D5D9FC477N · 2.7% · long
  • PM-749D8ECCBY · 2.6% · long
  • PM-6FC216F48Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-86BFB53AFY · 2.3% · long
  • PM-307A1ED89N · 2.2% · long
  • PM-F6035567BY · 2.1% · long

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