Prediction-market trader

Active-Fraction @activefraction

Independent prediction-market trader. 9,063 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-02-12 (204 days), 178 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -5.3% · month -63.1% · 90 days -63.0% · 6 months -23.4% · 1 year — · all -33.2%
  • Max drawdown -79.0% · Sharpe -0.41 · win rate 4% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-7FF9B0DCCN · 24.9% · long
  • PM-077828FF7Y · 12.6% · long
  • PM-D662FBBF0Y · 11.2% · long
  • PM-7A52AC764N · 10.0% · long
  • PM-9D011A563N · 9.4% · long
  • PM-E5B260F55Y · 6.9% · long
  • PM-8DDD7F6F0Y · 6.1% · long
  • PM-E4430198DY · 5.2% · long
  • PM-E4D6102A0Y · 5.1% · long
  • PM-3832E581DN · 4.8% · long
  • PM-D65F7C0E0N · 3.6% · long
  • PM-D662FBBF0N · 0.2% · long

Copy on paper, free More traders How copying works

Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.