Prediction-market trader
0x15a1…5ef3 @0x15a15ef3
Independent prediction-market trader. 11,952 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2026-03-16 (198 days), 1675 trades recorded
- Returns: week +2.8% · month +7.6% · 90 days +43.2% · 6 months +28.8% · 1 year n/a · all +22.9%
- Max drawdown -33.1% · Sharpe 0.51 · win rate 6% · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-DB87D419BN · 24.5% · long
- PM-06C03C183N · 11.0% · long
- PM-110576E7AN · 9.8% · long
- PM-0CEAC2AECN · 9.6% · long
- PM-D2092BB69N · 8.8% · long
- PM-BDCE65222N · 8.3% · long
- PM-257A0C474N · 7.6% · long
- PM-744FCCEFDN · 3.4% · long
- PM-92DC2B34EN · 2.5% · long
- PM-6A790B6F1N · 2.4% · long
- PM-BC0AC70EBN · 2.4% · long
- PM-2F1E94344N · 2.0% · long