Prediction-market trader

0x0fa4…f4ea @0x0fa4f4ea

Independent prediction-market trader. 13,149 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-10 (147 days), 65 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -2.3% · month -12.2% · 90 days -5.9% · 6 months — · 1 year — · all -38.3%
  • Max drawdown -45.2% · Sharpe -0.71 · win rate 8% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-4D8B2FE51N · 6.8% · long
  • PM-A025A1421N · 5.7% · long
  • PM-57A5A853AN · 5.7% · long
  • PM-77AC89CFDN · 5.7% · long
  • PM-8F3ECB382N · 5.7% · long
  • PM-431B68CF8N · 5.6% · long
  • PM-EDC75F19BN · 5.6% · long
  • PM-63E6DA2CFN · 5.5% · long
  • PM-753CA2153N · 2.9% · long
  • PM-F1C549EEDN · 2.9% · long
  • PM-3D08ACFB2N · 2.9% · long
  • PM-214A76696N · 2.9% · long

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