Prediction-market trader
0x0404…4719 @0x04044719
Independent prediction-market trader. 5,147 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2025-12-29 (272 days), 376 trades recorded
- Returns: week +4.3% · month +12.8% · 90 days +26.4% · 6 months +32.2% · 1 year n/a · all +36.6%
- Max drawdown -40.7% · Sharpe 0.62 · win rate 2% · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-D9FB1184AN · 10.4% · long
- PM-193F34E60N · 7.9% · long
- PM-7B61BDAB5N · 5.4% · long
- PM-2D709A265N · 5.4% · long
- PM-2582AADB9N · 4.1% · long
- PM-EB93D8BD3N · 4.1% · long
- PM-7482A2ED2N · 4.1% · long
- PM-3B79FDE77N · 4.0% · long
- PM-0112F1A87N · 3.8% · long
- PM-5E044DB5FN · 3.3% · long
- PM-962E5B226N · 2.8% · long
- PM-FAA98E57FN · 2.7% · long